UK intel believes Russia not capable of making breakthrough in Vuhledar area

Russia is likely preparing for an offensive effort in the Vuhledar area in the Donetsk region, but it is unlikely that it has a striking force capable of achieving a breakthrough.

The UK Ministry of Defense said this in its latest intelligence update published on Twitter, Ukrinform reports.

According to the report, over the last 48 hours, heavy fighting has continued in the Bakhmut sector where Ukrainian forces are keeping resupply routes open to the west despite Russia's creeping encirclement over the last six weeks.

In addition, the town of Vuhledar has again experienced heavy shelling. There is a realistic possibility that Russia is preparing for another offensive effort in this area despite costly failed attacks in early February and late 2022, according to British intelligence.

Russia’s Eastern Group of Forces likely still has responsibility for the Vuhledar operation. Its commander, Colonel General Rustam Muradov, is likely under intense pressure to improve results following harsh criticism from the Russian nationalist community after previous setbacks.

"However, it is unlikely that Muradov has a striking force capable of achieving a breakthrough," the ministry said.