Without noise or dust, or how Putin is being stifled

08.09.2016 16:30 706

The “Master of many moves” turned out to be impotent in the face of the simple logic of force

In the first two days after the G20 summit several messages appeared that support the conclusion that in China there were no solid or concrete agreements reached on Ukraine or Syria by Western leaders at bilateral meetings.


US President Barack Obama told reporters in China about his conversation with Putin. Key points: "prior to implementation of the Minsk Agreements Washington has no intention to weaken sanctions", "the conversation was constructive, but did not become decisive," "reminded Putin of the need to fulfill the Minsk Agreements as soon as possible" and, finally, most importantly - "it is important for both sides to try and seize the opportunity in the coming weeks to agree on a final agreement and develop a timetable according to which the document will be realized."

 The French president also talked about "a few weeks" during which agreement will be agreed on a summit in the "Normandy Format" (such a meeting and would mean that agreed on a "priority"), and the German Chancellor also noted the same "soon."

Thus, we can confidently say that at G20 an ultimatum of sorts was to put to Russia, namely: Russia must accept the fact a clear common solution should be developed soon on the specific  implementation of the Minsk Agreements, with the unequivocal implementation of priorities named in its points. Otherwise - the continuation and stepping up of sanctions. As regards how to understand the time frame ( "shortly", "in a few weeks"), it is obvious that it should be completed by January 2017, when the European Union will consider whether to continue or cancel its sanctions against Russia.

Putin, of course, said nothing at meetings in China in response to the ultimatum. After all, nobody tried to get an immediate response from him. For the time being Russia, through the words of the president's press secretary is fending off journalists with general and evasive words, They say that Putin has not plans yet to meet Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, but if this is necessary for the implementation of the Minsk Agreements he  will be ready for such contact, certain necessary conditions must appear. And the like.

For the Kremlin to think clearer, the day after G20 the United States announced the expansion of another 11-point list of Russian companies on which the US has imposed sanctions. Today, September 7, the Committee of Permanent Representatives of member states of under the Council of the European Union agreed to extend personal sanctions imposed against Russian, Ukrainian and Crimean persons involved in attacks on the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. The issue here is part of anti-Russian sanctions imposed immediately after the annexation of Crimea and whose  term expires on September 15. Official confirmation of the extension of sanctions till March 15, 2017 will be published in the Official Journal of the European Union. Such speed of decision-making, despite the fact that in Europe there are strong supporters of sanctions being lifted shows that there is strong agreement between the US and the EU (more precisely - France and Germany) on joint pressure on Russia.


President Erdogan agreed to a US proposal for a joint operation in the Syrian city of Rakka. Speaking in an interview in the publication Hurriyet: "Obama told me he wanted something to do with us about Rakka. We said that our side will have no problems. We proposed that our military meet and discuss how to do this." It is about meeting Obama and Erdogan at the G20 summit and the liberation of Rakka, the self-proclaimed capital of ISIL. Erdogan also said that Obama had previously proposed a joint attack on Rakka subject to suspension of cooperation by the United States with the Kurds, but the Americans refused all the same.

The conclusion is clear: in the fight against the ISIL the United States is refusing to be part of an alliance with the Kurds and Russia in the fight against IDIL but is creating one with Turkey. The USA, which does not want to involve their troops in a bloody war against ISIL were so keen to reach an agreement with Russia, so that Russian aircraft and anti-Assad rebels overcome ISIL, are now choosing a different strategy. That of Turkey (instead of Russia) pounding ISIL with the help of the USA.  

Yuriy Sandul, Kyiv


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